Tuesday, January 03, 2012

The Sugar Bowl

Tonight’s Sugar Bowl will see #13 Michigan (10-2, 6-2, 2nd Big Ten Legends Division) against #17 Virginia Tech (11-2, 7-2, 1st in ACC Coastal Division).

The two teams appear to be pretty well matched—-on paper. The Wolverines have the nation’s 11th best rushing offense (235.7 yards per game) while the Hokies have the 13th best rushing defense (107.8 ypg). Conversely, the Virginia Tech is 28th in rushing offense while Michigan is 31st in rushing defense (129.1 ypg).

The Hokies are better in the passing offense being 64th in the nation with 227.1 ypg while the Wolverines are 87th with 187.4 ypg. Michigan has an edge in passing defense. They are 15th in the nation yielding just 188.5 ypg compared to the Hokies 36th position with 206.2 ypg.

Michigan has Denard Robinson (“only” 2056 yards passing on 133 completions but 1163 yards rushing on 209 carries). Virginia Tech has David Wilson (266 carries for 1627 yards).

The difference is VT plays in the ACC while Michigan played in the Big Ten. And this time it DOES make a difference. Michigan will stop David Wilson. VT will not stop Denard Robinson.

Michigan will win this one 31-17.

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