Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Settled Science? Surely you jest!

Come on guys, make up your mind!

Study: Warming may cut US hurricane hits

First they told us that Global Warming would mean more and stronger hurricanes. And now this:

In it, researchers link warming waters, especially in the Indian and Pacific oceans, to increased vertical wind shear in the Atlantic Ocean near the United States. Wind shear — a change in wind speed or direction — makes it hard for hurricanes to form, strengthen and stay alive.

So that means "global warming may decrease the likelihood of hurricanes making landfall in the United States," according to researchers at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Miami Lab and the University of Miami.


Of course, the acolytes of the Goracle are aghast that someone should doubt and have jumped on the research and the researcher.

Critics say Wang's study is based on poor data that was rejected by scientists on the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. They said that at times only one in 10 North Atlantic hurricanes hit the U.S. coast and the data reflect only a small percentage of storms around the globe.

Hurricanes hitting land "are not a reliable record" for how hurricanes have changed, said Kevin Trenberth, climate analysis chief for the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo.


But using temperature sensors located near parking lots and in newly developed urban centers to measure “change” is just hunky-dory?

Trenberth is among those on the other side of a growing debate over global warming and hurricanes. Each side uses different sets of data and focus on different details.


WAIT A MINUTE! Wait just a gol-darn minute! “Other side”? “Growing debate”? What happened to the Gore almighty’s “consensus?”

You keep using this word: “Consensus!” I do not think it means what you think it means.

One group of climate scientists has linked increases in the strongest hurricanes — just those with winds greater than 130 mph — in the past 35 years to global warming. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has said "more likely than not," manmade global warming has already increased the frequency of the most intense storms.

But hurricane researchers, especially scientists at NOAA's Miami Lab, have argued that the long-term data for all hurricanes show no such trend. And Wang's new research suggests just the opposite of the view that more intense hurricanes result from global warming. The Miami faction points to a statement by an international workshop on tropical cyclones that says "no firm conclusion can be made on this point."


So it’s “climate scientists” vs. “hurricane researchers.” In a question of hurricane behavior, which has more expertise?

(Meanwhile, keep in mind that when they talk of “all those IPCC scientists, most never even read the whole report and those that criticizes portions of it were hushed up. So, let’s just undercut our—and the entire developed world’s—economy upon the fear mongering called “Man-made Global Warming” or “Climate Change” when, in fact, it’s a perfectly natural phenomenon.)

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