Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Let's try this again...

There are two more bowl games being played today. Let’s see if I can give the kiss of death to two more victims.

At 4:30 PM we have the Military Bowl in Washington, D.C. with Toledo (8-4, 2nd in the MAC West, 7-1 in conference) facing Air Force (7-5, 5th in the Mountain West, 3-4 in conference).

Toledo Rockets have a potent offense aand are somewhat mixed on defense. They are 29th in the nation in passing offense (272.0 ypg) and 14th in the nation in rushing offense (221.2 ypg). The Rockets’ are 24th in the nation in rush defense allowing just 123.2 ypg but a terrible 107th in pass defense allowing 277.0 ypg.

The Falcons of Air Force aren’t too shabby in rush offense either. They are 2nd in the nation averaging 320.3 ypg. Strangely, Air Force’s pass offense is deplorable. They are just 109th managing just 138.5 ypg. Air Force’s rush defense is a horrible 107th out of 120 teams in the nation. They yield an average of 227.8 ypg. Ah, but their pass defense is superb! The Falcons are 6th in the nation holding their opponents to just 162.7 ypg.

So it looks to boil down to the rushing of Toledo against the bad rush defense of Air Force and the rushing of Air Force against the fairly good rush defense of Toledo. If Air Force wants to win they will either have to overcome that Toledo rush defense or go with their weak passing game against an equally poor Toledo passing defense.

There should be a lot of option running in this one.

The Rockets shoot down the Falcons 35-27.

******

The second game is the Holiday Bowl being played in San Diego at 8 PM ET. Here we have the Texas Longhorns (7-5, 6th in the Big 12, 4-5 in conference) facing the California Golden Bears (7-5, 4th in the PAC 12 North, 5-5 in conference).

The Longhorns dropped three of their last four games. They lost to Missouri (8-5), Kansas State (10-2), and Baylor (9-3). Cal lost only one of their last four—to Stanford by 3 points. The three wins, however came against Washington St. (4-8), Oregon St. (3-9), and Arizona St. (6-7)—not exactly powerhouse teams.

The Longhorns will be ready to play and should gore the Golden Bears.

Texas wins 31-17.

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